Portuguese property prices have finally fallen: Q2 trends

Market commercial property reached €760 million in investment in the first half of 2023. Although this is approximately 35% below the average for the past five years, the cumulative total shows a decline of only 8% compared with last year.

The hotel sector is leading the way, with the largest transaction here being a portfolio of hotels, which accounted for 33% of the total market volume. This is followed by the retail sector, where a deal involving a portfolio of 40 supermarkets was completed.

International capital accounts for 81% of transactions, with US investment firms playing a significant role in this regard.

Infographic on the Portuguese commercial real estate market in H1 2023 (JLL)

Lisbon's housing market remains attractive. In the first half of the year, prices rose in many areas, especially Lapa – Estrela, Campo de Ourique, Restelo – Belém, and Sete Rios – Praça de Espanha. As for average prices, in the second quarter there was a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter correction.

Thus, the average price per square metre of housing in Lisbon in the second quarter stood at €4,470, which is half a per cent lower than last year’s level. The average price per square metre in new-build properties was €6,400, down by 4% compared with last year.

House price dynamics in Lisbon by the first quarter and compared to last year (Confidencial Imobiliário)

Nevertheless, average prices for new-build properties in the upper price segment have risen compared to last year and the previous quarter. Here we are seeing a 10 per cent increase (year-on-year) to €11,480 per square metre.

Cost per square metre of residential property in Lisbon (JLL)

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